Report:US Deficit to Exceed $1 Trillion08/22 06:27

   The federal budget deficit is expected to balloon to more than $1 trillion 
in the next fiscal year under the first projections taking into account the big 
budget deal that President Donald Trump and Congress reached this summer, the 
Congressional Budget Office reported.

   WASHINGTON (AP) -- The federal budget deficit is expected to balloon to more 
than $1 trillion in the next fiscal year under the first projections taking 
into account the big budget deal that President Donald Trump and Congress 
reached this summer, the Congressional Budget Office reported.

   The return of $1 trillion annual deficits comes despite Trump's vow when 
running for office that he would not just balance the budget but pay down the 
entire national debt.

   "The nation's fiscal outlook is challenging," said Phillip Swagel, director 
of the nonpartisan CBO. "Federal debt, which is already high by historical 
standards, is on an unsustainable course."

   The office on Wednesday upped this year's deficit projection by $63 billion 
and the cumulative deficit projection for the next decade by $809 billion. The 
higher deficit projections come even as the CBO reduced its estimate for 
interest rates, which lowers borrowing costs, and as it raised projections for 
economic growth in the near term.

   The number crunchers at CBO projected that the deficit for the current 
fiscal year will come to $960 billion. In the next fiscal year, which begins 
Oct. 1, it will exceed $1 trillion.

   The CBO said the budget deal signed into law earlier this month, which took 
away the prospect of a government shutdown in October and the threat of deep 
automatic spending cuts, would boost deficits by $1.7 trillion over the coming 
decade. Increased spending on disaster relief and border security would add 
$255 billion. Downward revisions to the forecast for interest rates will help 
the picture, trimming $1.4 trillion.

   Swagel said the federal debt will rise even higher after the coming decade 
because of the nation's aging population and higher spending on health care.

   To put the country on sustainable footing, Swagel said, lawmakers will have 
to increase taxes, cut spending or combine the two approaches.

   The CBO projects that the economy will expand more slowly, from 2.3% this 
year to 1.8% on average in the next four years. The assumption reflects slower 
growth in consumer spending and government purchases, as well as the effect of 
trade policies on business investment.

   It also projects the unemployment rate will remain close to its current 
level of 3.7% through the end of 2020 and then rises to 4.6% by the end of 2023.

   The CBO's estimate is the first to reflect the hard-won budget and debt deal 
signed into law earlier this month.

   "The recent budget deal was a budget buster, and now we have further proof. 
Both parties took an already unsustainable situation and made it much worse," 
said Maya MacGuineas, president of the private Committee for a Responsible 
Federal Budget.

   MacGuineas said lawmakers should ensure the legislation they enact is paid 
for and redouble efforts to control the growth in health care costs and restore 
the solvency of the Social Security program. Her organization is focused on 
educating the public on issues with significant fiscal policy impact.

   Senior White House adviser Kellyanne Conway pivoted to the president's 
desire to fund the military and other programs when asked about the report.

   "We're always concerned about the deficit," Conway said. "We also need to 
fund a lot of the projects and programs that are important to this country."


(KR)